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Caulfield Caulfield Cup Group 1 2400m First run in 1879 and won by Newminster, the Caulfield Cup is one of the most time honoured events on the Australian horse racing calendar. Only a handful have won this prestigious race twice, the most recent Ming Dynasty (1977, 1980), Rising Fast the most recent to win consecutively in 1954 and 1955, with Paris & Poseidon the only other dual winners. Big Philou in 1969 is the only horse to win the race on protest defeating Nausori, while only one dead heat has been recorded, in 1909 when Blue Book and Aborigine shared the spoils. Favourites have a very poor record, with only 17 winning in the past 60 years, and only 10 in the past 42 runnings, with favourites having a much better winning strike rate prior to the influx of overseas imports. 2017 victor Boom Time has not returned to defend his crown. With the influx of overseas horses the race has been made almost an impossible task for punters trying to line up many different form races. Not to mention the fact punters are unaware if some of these overseas acceptances have travelled well, and done well since their arrival. The imports do not have as impressive a record in this race as they do on the first Tuesday in November. Saeed Bin Suroor has been trying to win the two major Cups in Melbourne for some time, without success thus far, however he brought over a very good horse this year in Best Solution. An 8 time winner, 5 times in this distance range, and his past 2 at Group 1 level over this distance. The biggest issue the entire will have is coping with the big field around The Heath, however with any luck in running from the awkward gate, he looks well palced with only 57.5kg. The Cliffsofmoher has been bought into by Team Williams and he did run on strongly last Saturday in the Caulfield Stakes over 2000m. He has not won beyond 2100m and has only won 3 from 16, he might find some of these a bit strong. Chestnut Coat was placed at G2 level over 2500m three runs back, however has never won at black type level, although has won twice from three attempts at 2400m. A chance, but he may lack the class. Jon Snow has been thereabouts without threatening this preparation and failed badly from a good draw in this race last year. Place hope at best. Sound Check was beaten narrowly by Best Solution last start and meets the entire 2kg better at the weights. The big field is a concern as is the barrier, however he has won 7 from 16 and a fast pace will suit as he will be hitting the line strongly. Ace High looks a great winning chance of the locals. He easily accounted for the Hill Stakes field at WFA last start, he won the Victorian Derby this time last year and was runner up in the Australian Derby, he is drawn well enough, will sit handy and he will look the winner at some stage in the straight. From an astute trainer of stayers, he will be primed for a big effort on the day. The Taj Mahal won a much easier event last start and he will probably set the speed again here. Difficult to see he has the class to hold off some of the imports. Duretto was beaten lass than a length by Best Solution two runs back and meets the entire 3kg better at the weights in this race. He has won 4 times in this distance range so cannot be discounted lightly bypunters. Ed Dunlop has a knack of finding the right horse for Autsrlia and he brings Red Verdon here with 5 wins from 24 plus 10 minors. On first look we doubt his class to win however Dunlop is not to be underestimated, nor is jockey Zac Purton. Both Venguer Masque and Ventura Storm mix their form far too much to get us enthused about their winning chances while Mighty Boss is simply taking up a spot that another horse with much better form could fill. Homesman goes forward however he too can mix his form. He fought on tenaciously to win the Underwood, then capitulated badly in the Caulfield Stakes, so what he produces in this race is anybody’s guess. Happy to leave him out. Kings Will Dream has been specifically set for this race and his form this preparation has been very consistent. Beaten less than 2 lengths in four WFA starts this time in, he gets back and runs on strongly and this race looks ideal for him. He is rock hard fit, drawn well and has Craig Williams to assist, definite winning chance. The Japanese Sole Impact might need Flemington and 3200m while Gallic Chieftain was well beaten in the Herbert Power and we are happy to leave them out. Nights Watch has promised plenty however he might be just short of the class needed to win a Caulfield Cup. He has a horror draw, but is fit and from the right camp, place hopes best for him. Youngstar is the only mare in the field, 11 mares have won in the past 50 years so she is up against history. Her run behind Winx at FLemington was outstanding and if she gets a nice run from the draw she is building up to win a win this preparation. Nicely weighted, she is a winning chance. Cannot have Patrick Erin in this race however second emergency Jaameh has palce claims should he get a run. His form has been very good with one exception this time in and from a good draw he can figure in the finish. The winner should come from Best Solution, Sound Check, Ace High, Duretto,  Red Vernon, Kings Will Dream and Youngstar, if you fancy one of those please don’t let us sway you away from them. 1#6 Ace High 2 #14 Kings Will Dream 3 #5 Sound Check 4 #1 Best Solution 5 #18 Youngstar
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